Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 48 · v1

Severe Weather near Harker Heights

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 3 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 20 May 2026 at 04:03 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 2nd strongest of the 135 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 10 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 50 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued May 19 at 10:53PM CDT until May 19 at 11:00PM CDT by NWS Fort Worth TX

Urban PEI: 691,490 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 10 March 2026

How we know

12 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)48 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.90/1
Coordinates30.9332, -97.6507
Nearest CityHarker Heights (16 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)691.5K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-20T03:53:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fc66a4e8af56032d370508a0687d7123

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-05-20T03:53:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-05-20T03:56:39.106Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
85
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescBell, TX; Williamson, TX; Falls, TX and 1 more areas
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued May 19 at 10:53PM CDT until May 19 at 11:00PM CDT by NWS Fort Worth TX
Expires2026-05-19T23:03:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Fort Worth TX
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount5
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fc66a4e8af56032d370508a0687d7123eab6d160.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7079133866716ce9a677ecfbcc3bd80d716d9d3a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3c75440287091f4d34fd504f11804e8a6a609746.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.071cee79f245ef6333f0b4b74f44938171b329c9.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bc037523a971ecad6ca4ea6a247173421eb9dd63.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryG
Iem Magnitude70
Iem UnitMPH
Iem City2 ESE Serenada
Iem CountyWilliamson
Iem StateTX
Iem WfoEWX
Iem RemarkAmateur Radio report at SH 130 & I-35 under the SH 130 overpass near Georgetown, had street lights and several signs blown over. Raining completely horizontal, about 70MPH.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_F_30.810_-98.200_1779243180000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779243180000,"latitude":30.81,"longitude":-98.2},{"id":"iem_F_30.910_-98.100_1779241860000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779241860000,"latitude":30.91,"longitude":-98.1},{"id":"iem_H_30.760_-97.500_1779234780000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779234780000,"latitude":30.76,"longitude":-97.5},{"id":"iem_H_30.720_-97.440_1779233760000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779233760000,"latitude":30.72,"longitude":-97.44},{"id":"iem_E_30.880_-98.150_1779239460000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779239460000,"latitude":30.88,"longitude":-98.15},{"id":"iem_H_30.780_-97.850_1779239940000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779239940000,"latitude":30.78,"longitude":-97.85},{"id":"iem_G_30.530_-97.600_1779244500000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779244500000,"latitude":30.53,"longitude":-97.6},{"id":"iem_D_30.670_-97.670_1779241860000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779241860000,"latitude":30.67,"longitude":-97.67},{"id":"iem_F_30.790_-98.160_1779244260000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779244260000,"latitude":30.79,"longitude":-98.16},{"id":"iem_F_30.840_-97.790_1779244380000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779244380000,"latitude":30.84,"longitude":-97.79},{"id":"iem_G_30.690_-97.660_1779243120000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779243120000,"latitude":30.69,"longitude":-97.66}]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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